PREMIER LEAGUE - WEEK 12
Leicester vs Chelsea
A tough task for the Foxes as they welcome Enzo Maresca back to the King Power Stadium on Saturday. Both sides haven’t won in their past 3 games, but Chelsea faced much tougher opposition in Arsenal, Manchester United & Newcastle. In the same period, Leicester drew with Ipswich and fell to Nottingham Forest.
The head-to-head tells a similar story, with Chelsea winning the last 3 ties between these teams, or 5 wins and a draw from the past 6 meetings. The last time Leicester beat Chelsea was in the 20/21 season. Leicester will also be without Ricardo Pereira for the foreseeable future, as he joins the lengthening injury list.
So far this season, Leicester have averaged 1 goal per game at home with a -2 goal difference, while Chelsea have averaged 2.4 goals away with a +7 goal difference. Chelsea should take this, the question becomes by how much. We’ll go with the -1.0 line, to push a 1-goal victory and target a 2+ goal win. Check our Leicester vs Chelsea markets here.
Prediction: Chelsea -1.0 @1.79
Manchester City vs Tottenham
Manchester City are currently in their worst form under Pep Guardiola, with 4 consecutive losses in all competitions. Tottenham won’t be too high on confidence for their visit to the Etihad either, coming off the back of an embarrassing home loss to Ipswich, following an underwhelming loss to Galatasaray in the Europa League.
Tottenham have shown they can consistently take points off City. In their last 10 league games, Tottenham won 5 and drawn 2. If we refine that to just the Etihad, it’s 1 win and 2 draws from the last 5. Both sides have the ability to win, and both sides are lacking consistency at the moment, it’s tough to split them, although you could argue there’s value in a Tottenham plus handicap.
If we look at their previous league meetings at the Etihad: 3-3, 4-2, 2-3, 3-0, 2-2. We can see a pattern of plenty of goals, with 24 goals in 5 meetings, for an average of 4.8. The main total line for Saturday is at 3.5, with only 1 of those previous 5 finishing under it, barely, on 3 goals. The value is in the overs here. Check our Manchester City vs Tottenham markets here.
Prediction: Over 3.5 @1.91
Southampton vs Liverpool
It’s top against bottom at Saint Mary’s. Southampton have been woeful this season, with their first victory coming against Everton after 10 games, followed by a loss to Wolves, who were bottom, and traded places with them again after the result.
On the other hand, Liverpool have been flying this season, with just 1 loss to their name, they rightfully sit on top of the league and will do so after the Southampton game, regardless of the result. In all competitions, they’re unbeaten in 13, 12 of those being victories.
Southampton won their last home game, but it’s their only win of the season, their only other point of this campaign came at home to Ipswich too, on top of 3 home losses, scoring 4 and conceding 8 in those 5. Away from home, Liverpool drew 2-2 with Arsenal last time out, with the other 4 games all being wins, scoring 10 and conceding 3 in those 5. Liverpool should take this with ease and could run away with it. We’re going to come in under the main line at -1.5, and target Liverpool winning by 2 or more. Check our Southampton vs Liverpool markets here.
Prediction: Liverpool -1.5 @1.77
